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Argentina: Inflation Resumes Its Decline, But . . .

Tango

Member
The race against time. I'm amazed how much patience Argentines have had during this recession. Just like this article says, lately some of my friends that voted for Milei are losing hope that things will improve any time soon. They aren't blaming one side or another but just frustrated at their situation and he is the one in office. I explained there is no other alternative.

 
The race against time. I'm amazed how much patience Argentines have had during this recession. Just like this article says, lately some of my friends that voted for Milei are losing hope that things will improve any time soon. They aren't blaming one side or another but just frustrated at their situation and he is the one in office. I explained there is no other alternative.

People are still holding on and seeing some light at the end of the tunnel. But I agree if things don't drastically improve by the end of this year that can change. If the economy doesn't get start moving lots of businesses will close down. Many businesses are in the position of this man on this article.

 
No doubt the next few months will be critical in how things turn out. Here is a recent survey on Argentine perceptions of the direction of the country.

 
Inflation back to 2021 levels.

It sounds good that inflation is back to 2021 levels but is that really anything to write home about? I thought 2021 was a really horrible year. :ROFLMAO:

People keep talking about how inflation is going down but my friends there are saying the opposite. They are going to leave Argentina and come to Spain once their apartment contract ends. They locked in the price for their rental in dollars so that is good and it doesn't change but they pay for the building administration expenses as agreed with their rental contract.

They said grocery store stabilized a bit but everything else is over double and some things 3x what it was last year. That doesn't sound like slowing inflation to me. I guess it is good supermarket prices are not going up too much compared to before. But they are bitching about the expenses rising each month. They said it is going up every month. Same thing for their utility bills. It was not too much but now they said the bills they are getting are really adding up. Restaurant prices too are much more expensive than last year.

I don't get where this 3.5% monthly inflation figure comes from if so many things are going up. It can't just be them because I am reading about it every day online too.
 
It sounds good that inflation is back to 2021 levels but is that really anything to write home about? I thought 2021 was a really horrible year. :ROFLMAO:

People keep talking about how inflation is going down but my friends there are saying the opposite. They are going to leave Argentina and come to Spain once their apartment contract ends. They locked in the price for their rental in dollars so that is good and it doesn't change but they pay for the building administration expenses as agreed with their rental contract.

They said grocery store stabilized a bit but everything else is over double and some things 3x what it was last year. That doesn't sound like slowing inflation to me. I guess it is good supermarket prices are not going up too much compared to before. But they are bitching about the expenses rising each month. They said it is going up every month. Same thing for their utility bills. It was not too much but now they said the bills they are getting are really adding up. Restaurant prices too are much more expensive than last year.

I don't get where this 3.5% monthly inflation figure comes from if so many things are going up. It can't just be them because I am reading about it every day online too.
People are just relieved that hyper-inflation seems to be contained a bit for now. I say for now because there is no guarantee that things could change.

Your friends are probably complaining so much because the dollar inflation has been extreme in the past year. Supermarket prices are still going up. Not like before but they are going back up according to friends and family in BA. Medical bills are going up again too. Everyone is complaining about condo fees. I just read an expat that posted about this last night.

Electricity has gone up a lot but it is still cheaper than most places. It probably will go up a lot more.

 
Your friends are probably complaining so much because the dollar inflation has been extreme in the past year
That is putting it mildly! Inflation in the past year has been horrible. And worse yet they are intervening with exchange rate. Normally when a country has high inflation in their currency, US dollar increase in value against local currency. Here it has been opposite. Prices have gone up about 35% in dollars over the past few weeks.

Look at poverty rates. It is laughable to try to argue that poverty rates are falling. That is a joke.
 
That is putting it mildly! Inflation in the past year has been horrible. And worse yet they are intervening with exchange rate. Normally when a country has high inflation in their currency, US dollar increase in value against local currency. Here it has been opposite. Prices have gone up about 35% in dollars over the past few weeks.

Look at poverty rates. It is laughable to try to argue that poverty rates are falling. That is a joke.
I agree inflation has been terrible! The dollar inflation has been high which is what really hurts. Normally it isn't this bad. Food prices are still going up about 2% a month which anywhere else in the world would be shocking.


GaLgc8CXUAA28d1.jpeg
 
This chart looks like food inflation is going down. It shows food basket going down 2.5% this month.

View attachment 7908
Yes at the grocery store things have been much better the past few months. Some things with the recession are on deep discount. There are less people shopping as budgets are tight. You can see all kinds of promotions like this 2X1 deal.

Ga6ShoqXIAAQD8z.jpeg
 
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