The thing about Argentina is it sometimes can be difficult to predict. If everyone could do it then everyone would get rich. Even the top economists are puzzled here often. There is a limit to how high prices go because people just stop buying which is what we are seeing today. Before we left many people were slowing down beef consumption. So there is a fine line with how high prices can go. Already most restaurants are at that level. I doubt they can keep going up. At a certain point if they try to mark it up they will lose sales and lose more money. (That won't stop them from trying first!)
People here have a dining out culture. People need to learn to break that habit and with the high cost most already have cut back. Before inflation was so terrible people were in a hurry to spend their money and I think that is also why people dined out more. Now with costs so high and inflation slowing down I think it is slowed down with dining out. New habits and new budgets.
I like Spain and cost of living there is reasonable from what friends tell me. Dining out is less than Buenos Aires. Rents are more but groceries are very cheap there. We have many friends and family that moved there and very happy.
Very true. People here are just used to spending as much as they can before the peso gets worthless. Now with the peso stable it is different and a part of why the approval ratings are still high. Predictability and stability can't be understated. Most of my friends here are used to dining out quite a bit but even they are cutting back.
People have a new reality now. Currency is stable, inflation has fallen, and people have faith in the peso. I never thought I'd see the day where more people prefer to do a peso contract vs. USD contract. Obviously they have a peso adjustment but no one had faith in the peso before.
New reality of utility costs increasing is people have to watch what they consume. Before someone else was paying for it (government) so they just blasted the AC on and left all their doors open even. Or in the winter it will be very hot and stores will have their furnace blasting. There is a new reality in Argentina and people have to watch consumption and their bottom line because THEY are paying now.
I have many, many, many friends that moved to Spain and all of them are very happy. Most do miss Buenos Aires but I ask if they will move back and they said probably not because it's too expensive in Argentina now. There was a tremendous brain drain and most likely these people won't come back until salary levels are higher and cost of living is lower. In Spain, rentals are more but I think everything else is lower.
I just had dinner with a very good friend of mine that just did his MBA in Barcelona and he said he would move there if he didn't have kids. He is going through a divorce with one of my best friends. He said cost of living is a fraction of what it is in BA now. He gave specific examples with medical coverage, dining out, groceries, He said how he could easily travel within Europe very cheaply and easily on discount airlines. Argentina lacks that.
He is paying $1,600 USD per month for his 2 kids to go to private schools and as you all mentioned, its going up monthly or every 2 months and nothing he can do but pay it.
Good question. I think about the huge distance between Argentina and the major economies in the world, 10hr flight from the US (if you can get a direct) and 16+ from Europe. There has to be an added cost to that even if the place was functioning well, which it obviously isn't. Spain is a short hop to EU/UK and has had to operate under EU supervision for 20+ years.
Yes, Argentina is very far from everywhere. I was just with some new clients of mine that was from Portugal. He brought his girlfriend's parents from Brazil to come and apartment shop with him.
@CraigM, you can appreciate this. He was in the offices of GyD and we were meeting and his father in law was saying how he NEVER been to Buenos Aires. I asked him why?? I told him how it was so cheap last year. He then commented that airline flights are crazy expensive. He said that he can fly to Portugal to visit his daughter for the same price as a flight to BA.
Things are improving here in Argentina. Whether people want to admit it or not they are improving but a lot of things to fix still.